Saturday, June 21, 2008

ESPN draft rater: Which big men will become the best pros?

According to this, Hendrix is a fringe 1st rounder. This is an interesting read as John Hollinger has an innovative way of predicting success in draft picks.

Fringe first-rounders
Kosta Koufos, Ohio State, 13.32; Darnell Jackson, Kansas 13.17; DeAndre Jordan, Texas A&M, 13.17; Richard Hendrix, Alabama, 12.95; Jason Thompson, Rider, 12.77; D.J. White, Indiana 12.63; Trent Plaisted, BYU 12.61

Now things start getting dicey. The teams who take the top six big men have a good chance of getting themselves a player, but the history of big men in the projected PER range of 12.5 to 13.5 is a decidedly mixed bag -- you can pretty much forget about stardom once you get this low. That's probably why all but two of these guys are between 20 and 41 on Chad Ford's board.

Of note here are Koufos and Jackson. Koufos could go in the lottery, but doesn't have the numbers to back up being selected that high. At the other end, Darnell Jackson appears to be a potential second-round steal.

Read the rest here (free insider preview)

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